Drug Retail


I always look at economics of the business
A bird in the hand is worth 2 in the bush and the question is how sure are you there are 2 in the bush and how long you have to wait to get them out
1. How many birds are in the bush?
2. When you gonna get them out?
3. How sure are you?
If interest rates are 15% roughly you've got 2 birds out of bush in 5 years equal to bird in the hand but if interest rates are 3% and you can get 2 birds out in 20 years it still makes sense to give up the bird in the hand because it's all gets back to discounting an interest rate. Often you don't know not only how many birds in the bush but in the case of internet companies there were not any birds in the bush but they still take the bird that you give them from the hand
Loop through all the subindustries and try to understand how many birds are in the bush from the perspective of economics of the business

Revenue

200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Display GDP grow per year to compare with Revenue Change
1. Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc WBA21,20724,62328,68132,50537,50842,20247,40953,76259,03463,33567,42072,18471,63372,21776,392103,444117,351118,214131,537136,866139,537
2. Rite Aid Corporation RAD13,33914,51715,17115,80116,60016,81617,27117,50824,32726,28925,66925,21526,12125,39225,52626,52830,73732,84521,52921,64021,928
3. 111, Inc YI8749591,7863,952
4. CareRx Corporation CHHHF197440429265161167169124125
5. China Jo-Jo Drugstores, Inc CJJD557094906677898296108117
6. Dougherty's Pharmacy, Inc MYDP8.412.2800.51394455513736292825252841434036
7. Health Sciences Group, Inc HESG00.345.545.370.070.060.170.20.36
8. Next Generation Management Corp NGMC8.587.137.337.037.828.227.957.495.162.380.0300000


Revenue Growth

200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Display GDP growth per year to compare with Revenue Change
1. Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc WBA1.161.161.161.131.151.131.121.131.11.071.061.070.991.011.061.351.131.011.111.041.02
2. Rite Aid Corporation RAD1.091.091.051.041.051.011.031.011.391.080.980.981.040.971.011.041.161.070.661.011.01
3. 111, Inc YI1.11.11.862.21
4. CareRx Corporation CHHHF2.232.230.980.620.611.041.010.731.01
5. China Jo-Jo Drugstores, Inc CJJD1.271.271.350.950.741.161.160.921.181.121.09
6. Dougherty's Pharmacy, Inc MYDP0.270.270INF77.81.111.270.920.730.970.790.960.891.021.131.441.040.940.9
7. Health Sciences Group, Inc HESGINFINF16.190.970.010.892.91.131.82
8. Next Generation Management Corp NGMC0.830.831.030.961.111.050.970.940.690.460.010INF0.560INF